First off, I'm going to apologise for the crazy amount of posts this week. I just wanted to post this whilst everything was still fresh in my mind. Secondly, this isn't 100% related to birds, as you'll see, but I thought it might interest those studying Geog3057.
On Wednesday I attended a small seminar given at UCL by Franck Courchamp, a specialist in population dynamics and conservation biology from Université Paris Sud. The talk was on 'Interactions between Climate Change and Biological Invasions' and here I'm giving a quick summary of what was said.
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| Myrmica rubra; the European Fire Ant (aka. Common Red Ant) - by Tim Keppens on Flickr. |
Courchamp's research can be roughly divided into two sections; the effect that climate change will have on invasive ant species, and the effect it will have upon the IUCN's 100 of the World's Worst Invasive Alien Species.
Climate Change and Invasive Ant Species
- Over 200 of the ~1200 described species of ant (family; Formidae) are found outside of their native range. Some of these species can be classed as 'exotic' (i.e. not native, but not invasive). 19 of these species, however, are classed as highly invasive; 5 of them are present of the '100 of the World's Worst-' list.
- Ant invasions have important consequences for biodiversity; they may remove native species and other arthropods. They also effect mammals, birds, and other animals, and can impact seed dispersal and pollination by doing so. They also affect us; Red Imported Fire Ant (Solenopsis invicta) causes a total economic loss of around $1 billion per year, as well as roughly 100 deaths from anaphylaxis (severe allergic reaction).
Using climatic models, will invasive ant species increase their range and 'invasive-ness'?
- Some ants (5 species) will benefit from climate change, and will become more able to invade new regions. Amongst these are the Asian Needle Ant (Pachycondyla chinensis), Singapore Ant (Monomorium destructor) and European Fire Ant (Myrmica rubra).
- HOWEVER, many species are projected to freeze or decrease in their invasiveness (7 decreases and 3 remain 'stable'). 3 of the decreasing species are amongst the 'World's Worst'.
- So, overall, the general global trend seems to be that future climate change will decrease the invasiveness of ants.
- But don't start the party just yet! When we look at and compare the regions that these invasions are decreasing and increasing in, we get a more grim picture. Though the global trend in the future is to decrease, two-thirds of species show a strong increase in the world's Biodiversity Hotspots which, though they only cover 2.3% of the Earth's land area, contain high numbers of endemic species.
Having looked at invasive ants, Courchamp and his PhD students repeated the models, but this time did so for all of the '100 of the World's Worst-'. Would the results be worse, or better?
- Aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates, as well as terrestrial plants, amongst others, showed an increase in their invasive range. Europe and South America in particular showed a greater risk of being invaded with future climate change.
- Amphibians and birds, amongst others, showed a decrease in their invasive range with climate change. As with the ants, their was a general global decrease in invasiveness.
- However, as it had been with ants, the picture was different when Biodiversity Hotpsots were focused upon. With climate change, these hotspots were more likely to be invaded in hue he future, and some are more susceptible than others. Polynesia, for example, is at risk from 35 of the 'World's Worst'.
In the words of Franck Courchamp, the overall pattern is "a lot of invasions everywhere". Even though some species show a decrease in their distribution, as most are predicated to increase their distribution in the places that are most at risk we can be fairly confident in saying that climate change will not suppress biological invasions.
Thanks for posting! Indeed very useful for GEOG3057
ReplyDeleteThanks! You're welcome!
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